TIME poll: Bush 52%, Kerry 41%, Nader 3%

Hat tip: Instapundit. We link, you decide, although an 11% lead is well outside the error margin for the sample size used. Rasmussen Reports gives a more modest lead to Bush.

My hunch for November: unless a miracle happens for Kerry, Bush will be re-elected, although probably not by a landslide. My hunch for the 2008 race: Hillary Clinton (D) vs. Rudy Giuliani (R).